Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002933) Massive 39% Price Jump

SZSE:002933
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Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002933) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 39% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 3.1% isn't as impressive.

After such a large jump in price, Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.6x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China have P/S ratios under 7.3x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002933 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 17% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 48% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.