Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's (SZSE:002691) Earnings

SZSE:002691
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Jikai Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002691) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

Check out our latest analysis for Jikai Equipment Manufacturing

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002691 Earnings and Revenue History August 27th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Jikai Equipment Manufacturing has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥137m, well over the CN¥21.3m it reported in profit. Notably, Jikai Equipment Manufacturing had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥137m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥26m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Jikai Equipment Manufacturing had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's Profit Performance

Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Jikai Equipment Manufacturing, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Jikai Equipment Manufacturing.

Our examination of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.