Stock Analysis

Slammed 25% Willing New Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002667) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

SZSE:002667
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Willing New Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002667) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 69% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Willing New Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Willing New Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002667 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 13th 2024

How Willing New Energy Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Willing New Energy over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Willing New Energy will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Willing New Energy, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Willing New Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Willing New Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 197% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Willing New Energy's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Willing New Energy's P/S

The southerly movements of Willing New Energy's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Willing New Energy revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Willing New Energy you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Willing New Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.