Stock Analysis

Does Jiangsu Shentong Valve (SZSE:002438) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SZSE:002438
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Jiangsu Shentong Valve Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002438) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Shentong Valve

What Is Jiangsu Shentong Valve's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu Shentong Valve had debt of CN„1.21b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN„1.41b over a year. On the flip side, it has CN„731.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN„476.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002438 Debt to Equity History March 6th 2024

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Shentong Valve's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jiangsu Shentong Valve had liabilities of CN„2.06b due within a year, and liabilities of CN„406.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN„731.4m as well as receivables valued at CN„1.33b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN„402.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Jiangsu Shentong Valve shares are worth a total of CN„5.30b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Jiangsu Shentong Valve has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 47.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. While Jiangsu Shentong Valve doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Shentong Valve's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jiangsu Shentong Valve saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Jiangsu Shentong Valve is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Jiangsu Shentong Valve's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Jiangsu Shentong Valve's earnings per share history for free.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.