Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Guotai International Group (SZSE:002091) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

SZSE:002091
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002091) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Guotai International Group

What Is Jiangsu Guotai International Group's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu Guotai International Group had CN¥8.45b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has CN¥21.6b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥13.1b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002091 Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024

A Look At Jiangsu Guotai International Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jiangsu Guotai International Group had liabilities of CN¥15.2b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.50b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥21.6b in cash and CN¥7.41b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥8.26b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that Jiangsu Guotai International Group has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Guotai International Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Jiangsu Guotai International Group's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Guotai International Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Jiangsu Guotai International Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Jiangsu Guotai International Group's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Guotai International Group has net cash of CN¥13.1b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So is Jiangsu Guotai International Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Guotai International Group (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.