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Lubair Aviation Technology (SZSE:001316) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Lubair Aviation Technology (SZSE:001316) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Lubair Aviation Technology is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.08 = CN¥95m ÷ (CN¥1.3b - CN¥148m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Lubair Aviation Technology has an ROCE of 8.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 4.4%.
View our latest analysis for Lubair Aviation Technology
In the above chart we have measured Lubair Aviation Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Lubair Aviation Technology for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Lubair Aviation Technology doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 31%, but since then they've fallen to 8.0%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Lubair Aviation Technology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 11% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Lubair Aviation Technology is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 21% over the last year, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
Like most companies, Lubair Aviation Technology does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:001316
Lubair Aviation Technology
Engages in the distribution of aviation materials worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.