Investors Don't See Light At End Of Anhui Ankai Automobile Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000868) Tunnel
Anhui Ankai Automobile Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000868) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Ankai Automobile
How Anhui Ankai Automobile Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Anhui Ankai Automobile has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Ankai Automobile's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Anhui Ankai Automobile?
Anhui Ankai Automobile's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 34% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Anhui Ankai Automobile is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Anhui Ankai Automobile's P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It's no surprise that Anhui Ankai Automobile maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Anhui Ankai Automobile with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Anhui Ankai Automobile's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:000868
Anhui Ankai Automobile
Manufactures and sells large, medium, and light buses and automotive parts in China.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.