Stock Analysis

Freewon ChinaLtd's (SHSE:688678) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

SHSE:688678
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Despite Freewon China Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688678) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.

View our latest analysis for Freewon ChinaLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688678 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024

A Closer Look At Freewon ChinaLtd's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2024, Freewon ChinaLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.20. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥108.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥242m in the last year. We also note that Freewon ChinaLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥242m.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Freewon ChinaLtd's Profit Performance

Freewon ChinaLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Freewon ChinaLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Freewon ChinaLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Freewon ChinaLtd (including 1 which is concerning).

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Freewon ChinaLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.