Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Xinya Electronic Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605277) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Xinya Electronic
What Is Xinya Electronic's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Xinya Electronic had CN¥1.04b of debt, an increase on CN¥866.5m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥356.2m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥688.1m.
How Healthy Is Xinya Electronic's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Xinya Electronic had liabilities of CN¥1.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥527.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥356.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥958.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥471.6m.
Since publicly traded Xinya Electronic shares are worth a total of CN¥3.96b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Xinya Electronic's net debt is 2.5 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 12.8 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. One way Xinya Electronic could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 15%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xinya Electronic's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Xinya Electronic's free cash flow amounted to 48% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
The good news is that Xinya Electronic's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. All these things considered, it appears that Xinya Electronic can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Xinya Electronic (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:605277
Xinya Electronic
Manufactures and sells wires and cables in China and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet low.