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Tanyuan Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603133) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Tanyuan Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603133) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 56% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may still consider Tanyuan TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Tanyuan TechnologyLtd
How Has Tanyuan TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 83% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's very lofty P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Tanyuan TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Tanyuan TechnologyLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Tanyuan TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tanyuan TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603133
Tanyuan TechnologyLtd
Develops, manufactures, and sells thermal conductivity graphite heat dissipation materials in China.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.