If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at CRRC (SHSE:601766) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on CRRC is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.055 = CN¥12b ÷ (CN¥477b - CN¥259b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, CRRC has an ROCE of 5.5%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 6.0% average generated by the Machinery industry.
Check out our latest analysis for CRRC
In the above chart we have measured CRRC's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CRRC for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
The returns on capital haven't changed much for CRRC in recent years. The company has employed 30% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 5.5%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that CRRC has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 54%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
Our Take On CRRC's ROCE
Long story short, while CRRC has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 24% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for CRRC that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601766
CRRC
CRRC Corporation Limited, with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, design, manufacturing, refurbishment, sales, leasing, and technical servicing of railway locomotives and rolling stock in Mainland China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.