Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Shandong Yulong Gold Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601028)

SHSE:601028
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.5x Shandong Yulong Gold Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601028) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 27x and even P/E's higher than 51x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Shandong Yulong Gold has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Shandong Yulong Gold

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:601028 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shandong Yulong Gold.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Shandong Yulong Gold's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.7% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 63% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Shandong Yulong Gold's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shandong Yulong Gold currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shandong Yulong Gold, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Shandong Yulong Gold. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.