Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Far East Smarter Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600869) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Far East Smarter Energy
What Is Far East Smarter Energy's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Far East Smarter Energy had debt of CN¥7.18b, up from CN¥6.82b in one year. However, it also had CN¥2.80b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.38b.
How Healthy Is Far East Smarter Energy's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Far East Smarter Energy had liabilities of CN¥14.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.30b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.80b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.04b.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Far East Smarter Energy has a market capitalization of CN¥11.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.47 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.5 hit our confidence in Far East Smarter Energy like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Far East Smarter Energy saw its EBIT tank 83% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Far East Smarter Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Far East Smarter Energy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Far East Smarter Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Far East Smarter Energy has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Far East Smarter Energy that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600869
Far East Smarter Energy
Provides smart energy and smart city services in China and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.