Stock Analysis

Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600444) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

SHSE:600444
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Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600444) has had a rough three months with its share price down 12%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Specifically, we decided to study Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd is:

3.8% = CN¥25m ÷ CN¥659m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.04 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.8% ROE

It is quite clear that Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 7.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 17% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 6.7% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600444 Past Earnings Growth April 4th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 46% (that is, a retention ratio of 54%), the fact that Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd has been paying dividends for five years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 4 risks we have identified for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.