Stock Analysis

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Fujian Longking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600388) Estimates

SHSE:600388
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One thing we could say about the analysts on Fujian Longking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600388) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

Following the downgrade, the latest consensus from Fujian Longking's three analysts is for revenues of CN¥14b in 2024, which would reflect a substantial 28% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to jump 127% to CN¥1.07. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥18b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.35 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Fujian Longking's prospects, administering a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

View our latest analysis for Fujian Longking

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SHSE:600388 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 27th 2024

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 17% to CN¥17.43.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Fujian Longking's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 28% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.2% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 19% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Fujian Longking to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Fujian Longking. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Fujian Longking.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Fujian Longking going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

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Find out whether Fujian Longking is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.