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Shanghai Xinpeng Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002328) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
Shanghai Xinpeng Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002328) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.1% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 37x and even P/E's higher than 73x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
For instance, Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 51%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 51% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd's P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002328
Shanghai Xinpeng IndustryLtd
Develops, manufactures, and sells metal electromechanical parts in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.