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Does Wuhu Sanlian Forging (SZSE:001282) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Wuhu Sanlian Forging Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001282) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Wuhu Sanlian Forging
What Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Wuhu Sanlian Forging had debt of CN¥189.6m, up from CN¥31.2m in one year. However, it also had CN¥120.8m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥68.9m.
How Healthy Is Wuhu Sanlian Forging's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wuhu Sanlian Forging had liabilities of CN¥506.7m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥73.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥120.8m and CN¥491.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥32.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
Having regard to Wuhu Sanlian Forging's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.52b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Wuhu Sanlian Forging has net debt of just 0.32 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Another good sign is that Wuhu Sanlian Forging has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Wuhu Sanlian Forging will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Wuhu Sanlian Forging burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
The good news is that Wuhu Sanlian Forging's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Wuhu Sanlian Forging can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Wuhu Sanlian Forging you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Wuhu Sanlian Forging might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:001282
Wuhu Sanlian Forging
Engages in the research and development, production, distribution, and sale of automobile forging parts for use in automotive power systems, transmission systems, and steering systems in China.
Excellent balance sheet low.