Stock Analysis

Qingdao Doublestar Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000599) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

SZSE:000599
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Despite an already strong run, Qingdao Doublestar Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000599) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.4x, you may still consider Qingdao DoublestarLtd as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Qingdao DoublestarLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000599 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024

How Qingdao DoublestarLtd Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Qingdao DoublestarLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Qingdao DoublestarLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Qingdao DoublestarLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 5.2% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Qingdao DoublestarLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Qingdao DoublestarLtd's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Qingdao DoublestarLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Qingdao DoublestarLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Qingdao DoublestarLtd you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Qingdao DoublestarLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.