David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies SAIC Motor Corporation Limited (SHSE:600104) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for SAIC Motor
What Is SAIC Motor's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, SAIC Motor had CN¥169.6b of debt, up from CN¥158.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥258.3b in cash, so it actually has CN¥88.6b net cash.
How Strong Is SAIC Motor's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that SAIC Motor had liabilities of CN¥510.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥116.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥258.3b in cash and CN¥200.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥168.3b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge CN¥150.6b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that SAIC Motor has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.
Also positive, SAIC Motor grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SAIC Motor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While SAIC Motor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, SAIC Motor actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing Up
While SAIC Motor does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥88.6b. The cherry on top was that in converted 132% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥30b. So we are not troubled with SAIC Motor's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for SAIC Motor (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600104
SAIC Motor
Researches and develops, produces, and sells vehicles and their parts in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.