Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that CGE Gas Natural S.A. (SNSE:CGEGAS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for CGE Gas Natural
What Is CGE Gas Natural's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 CGE Gas Natural had CL$528.7b of debt, an increase on CL$456.3b, over one year. However, it also had CL$195.7b in cash, and so its net debt is CL$333.0b.
A Look At CGE Gas Natural's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CGE Gas Natural had liabilities of CL$364.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of CL$907.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CL$195.7b as well as receivables valued at CL$177.1b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CL$898.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CL$280.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, CGE Gas Natural would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CGE Gas Natural will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, CGE Gas Natural reported revenue of CL$783b, which is a gain of 52%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate CGE Gas Natural's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CL$35b. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost CL$64b in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that CGE Gas Natural is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SNSE:NTGCLGAS
Naturgy Chile Gas Natural
Engages in the distribution, supply, and transportation of natural gas in Chile and Argentina.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.