Stock Analysis

Energía de Casablanca (SNSE:CASABLANCA) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

SNSE:CASABLANCA
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Energía de Casablanca S.A. (SNSE:CASABLANCA) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

See our latest analysis for Energía de Casablanca

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SNSE:CASABLANCA Earnings and Revenue History April 4th 2024

Zooming In On Energía de Casablanca's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Energía de Casablanca recorded an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CL$149m despite its profit of CL$2.11b, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CL$432m a year ago though, so Energía de Casablanca has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Energía de Casablanca.

Our Take On Energía de Casablanca's Profit Performance

Energía de Casablanca didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Energía de Casablanca's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Energía de Casablanca at this point in time. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Energía de Casablanca (2 are concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Energía de Casablanca's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Energía de Casablanca is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.