Stock Analysis

Here's Why Aguas Andinas (SNSE:AGUAS-A) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SNSE:AGUAS-A
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Aguas Andinas S.A. (SNSE:AGUAS-A) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aguas Andinas

What Is Aguas Andinas's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Aguas Andinas had debt of CL$1.16t, up from CL$1.08t in one year. However, it does have CL$163.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CL$994.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:AGUAS-A Debt to Equity History March 18th 2022

A Look At Aguas Andinas' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Aguas Andinas had liabilities of CL$248.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CL$1.14t due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CL$163.5b and CL$102.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CL$1.12t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CL$981.8b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Aguas Andinas has net debt to EBITDA of 3.7 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 8.3 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 3.7. If Aguas Andinas can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 19% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aguas Andinas's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Aguas Andinas recorded free cash flow of 33% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

While Aguas Andinas's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its EBIT growth rate and interest cover give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We should also note that Water Utilities industry companies like Aguas Andinas commonly do use debt without problems. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Aguas Andinas's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Aguas Andinas (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.