Stock Analysis

Empresas Tricot's (SNSE:TRICOT) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

SNSE:TRICOT
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Empresas Tricot S.A.'s (SNSE:TRICOT) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

View our latest analysis for Empresas Tricot

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SNSE:TRICOT Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2021

A Closer Look At Empresas Tricot's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2020, Empresas Tricot recorded an accrual ratio of -0.48. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CL$52b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CL$1.87b. Empresas Tricot's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Empresas Tricot.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Empresas Tricot received a tax benefit of CL$724m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

Our Take On Empresas Tricot's Profit Performance

While Empresas Tricot's accrual ratio stands testament to its strong cashflow, and indicates good quality earnings, the fact that it received a tax benefit suggests that this year's profit may not be a great guide to its sustainable profit run-rate. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Empresas Tricot's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Empresas Tricot has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Our examination of Empresas Tricot has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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