Stock Analysis

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Compañía Industrial El Volcán's (SNSE:VOLCAN) Robust Earnings

SNSE:VOLCAN
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Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A. (SNSE:VOLCAN) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

View our latest analysis for Compañía Industrial El Volcán

earnings-and-revenue-history
SNSE:VOLCAN Earnings and Revenue History March 26th 2022

Zooming In On Compañía Industrial El Volcán's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Compañía Industrial El Volcán has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to December 2021. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CL$51m despite its profit of CL$48.0b, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Compañía Industrial El Volcán generated positive FCF of CL$2.7b a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Compañía Industrial El Volcán.

Our Take On Compañía Industrial El Volcán's Profit Performance

Compañía Industrial El Volcán didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Compañía Industrial El Volcán's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Compañía Industrial El Volcán you should be mindful of and 1 of them can't be ignored.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Compañía Industrial El Volcán's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.