Stock Analysis

Is Clínica Las Condes (SNSE:LAS CONDES) A Risky Investment?

SNSE:LAS CONDES
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Clínica Las Condes S.A. (SNSE:LAS CONDES) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Clínica Las Condes

What Is Clínica Las Condes's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Clínica Las Condes had debt of CL$191.2b at the end of June 2023, a reduction from CL$203.4b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CL$27.8b, its net debt is less, at about CL$163.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:LAS CONDES Debt to Equity History October 24th 2023

A Look At Clínica Las Condes' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Clínica Las Condes had liabilities of CL$83.9b due within a year, and liabilities of CL$209.5b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CL$27.8b as well as receivables valued at CL$117.2b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CL$148.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CL$158.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Clínica Las Condes' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.6 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1 hit our confidence in Clínica Las Condes like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Clínica Las Condes's EBIT was down 58% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Clínica Las Condes will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Clínica Las Condes recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 90% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

To be frank both Clínica Las Condes's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like Clínica Las Condes commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Clínica Las Condes has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Clínica Las Condes you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Clínica Las Condes is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.