Stock Analysis

Feria de Osorno's (SNSE:FERIAOSOR) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

SNSE:FERIAOSOR
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The market for Feria de Osorno S.A.'s (SNSE:FERIAOSOR) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

Check out our latest analysis for Feria de Osorno

earnings-and-revenue-history
SNSE:FERIAOSOR Earnings and Revenue History April 2nd 2024

Zooming In On Feria de Osorno's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2023, Feria de Osorno had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CL$14b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CL$5.60b. Feria de Osorno's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Feria de Osorno.

Our Take On Feria de Osorno's Profit Performance

Feria de Osorno's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Feria de Osorno's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Feria de Osorno has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Feria de Osorno's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.