Stock Analysis

We Think Compañía Cervecerías Unidas (SNSE:CCU) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SNSE:CCU
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (SNSE:CCU) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Compañía Cervecerías Unidas

How Much Debt Does Compañía Cervecerías Unidas Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Compañía Cervecerías Unidas had CL$465.9b of debt, an increase on CL$285.8b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CL$408.4b in cash leading to net debt of about CL$57.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:CCU Debt to Equity History March 9th 2021

A Look At Compañía Cervecerías Unidas' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas had liabilities of CL$521.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CL$595.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CL$408.4b in cash and CL$287.7b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CL$420.4b.

Since publicly traded Compañía Cervecerías Unidas shares are worth a total of CL$2.37t, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas has net debt of just 0.21 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.1 times the interest expense over the last year. In fact Compañía Cervecerías Unidas's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 21% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Compañía Cervecerías Unidas's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Compañía Cervecerías Unidas is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Compañía Cervecerías Unidas that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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