Stock Analysis

Is Compañía Cervecerías Unidas (SNSE:CCU) A Risky Investment?

SNSE:CCU
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (SNSE:CCU) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Compañía Cervecerías Unidas

What Is Compañía Cervecerías Unidas's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas had CL$548.5b of debt, up from CL$465.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CL$279.6b, its net debt is less, at about CL$268.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:CCU Debt to Equity History March 29th 2022

How Healthy Is Compañía Cervecerías Unidas' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Compañía Cervecerías Unidas had liabilities of CL$781.1b due within a year, and liabilities of CL$640.1b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CL$279.6b as well as receivables valued at CL$381.5b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CL$760.1b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Compañía Cervecerías Unidas is worth CL$2.18t, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.61. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 15.4 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas grew its EBIT by 84% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Compañía Cervecerías Unidas's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Compañía Cervecerías Unidas is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Compañía Cervecerías Unidas , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.