Target Valuation

Is TGTCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TGTCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TGTCL (CLP125280) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP238702.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TGTCL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TGTCL?

Key metric: As TGTCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TGTCL. This is calculated by dividing TGTCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TGTCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
EarningsUS$4.37b
Market CapUS$59.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TGTCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TGTCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.5x
CENCOSUD Cencosud
25.8x33.5%CL$5.8t
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.4x9.5%Mex$947.7b
8267 Aeon
114.8x19.6%JP¥3.1t
DG Dollar General
11.8x7.0%US$16.8b
TGTCL Target
13.6x4.5%CL$59.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TGTCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (42.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TGTCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TGTCL 13.6xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TGTCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TGTCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TGTCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TGTCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TGTCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$125,280.00
CL$138,828.55
+10.8%
11.6%CL$166,198.80CL$100,696.92n/a32
Nov ’25CL$134,000.00
CL$166,466.99
+24.2%
10.2%CL$191,406.00CL$113,886.57n/a32
Oct ’25CL$134,000.00
CL$160,285.15
+19.6%
10.7%CL$191,211.30CL$108,353.07n/a32
Sep ’25CL$134,000.00
CL$161,125.38
+20.2%
10.8%CL$191,704.80CL$108,632.72n/a31
Aug ’25CL$134,000.00
CL$165,552.52
+23.5%
10.9%CL$200,006.10CL$110,479.56n/a31
Jul ’25CL$134,000.00
CL$162,332.74
+21.1%
11.0%CL$195,373.50CL$107,920.60n/a30
Jun ’25CL$158,400.00
CL$159,774.06
+0.9%
9.1%CL$190,134.00CL$123,134.40n/a29
May ’25CL$158,400.00
CL$181,051.33
+14.3%
9.6%CL$215,479.00CL$133,205.20n/a30
Apr ’25CL$130,640.00
CL$181,566.32
+39.0%
9.1%CL$206,829.00CL$133,946.40n/a30
Mar ’25CL$130,640.00
CL$152,692.80
+16.9%
8.9%CL$174,295.80CL$127,816.92n/a30
Feb ’25CL$130,640.00
CL$142,530.68
+9.1%
10.2%CL$167,877.00CL$116,581.25n/a30
Jan ’25CL$198,060.00
CL$131,411.05
-33.7%
11.0%CL$157,365.00CL$101,413.00n/a31
Dec ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$129,767.76
-34.5%
10.6%CL$156,780.00CL$101,036.00n/a31
Nov ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$134,288.25
-32.2%
12.8%CL$167,003.92CL$105,285.08CL$134,000.0031
Oct ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$133,573.64
-32.6%
11.3%CL$165,818.04CL$108,142.20CL$134,000.0030
Sep ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$129,861.49
-34.4%
11.3%CL$160,057.92CL$104,385.60CL$134,000.0030
Aug ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$141,775.60
-28.4%
12.1%CL$184,932.00CL$109,278.00CL$134,000.0030
Jul ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$139,193.60
-29.7%
11.7%CL$177,320.00CL$104,780.00CL$134,000.0031
Jun ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$142,968.50
-27.8%
9.6%CL$176,671.00CL$115,639.20CL$158,400.0032
May ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$147,211.45
-25.7%
9.3%CL$177,430.00CL$125,007.50CL$158,400.0032
Apr ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$144,689.68
-26.9%
9.2%CL$173,736.20CL$122,405.05CL$130,640.0032
Mar ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$148,117.30
-25.2%
9.5%CL$178,338.60CL$125,647.65CL$130,640.0032
Feb ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$140,343.35
-29.1%
10.6%CL$169,108.25CL$111,690.10CL$130,640.0031
Jan ’24CL$198,060.00
CL$157,704.09
-20.4%
10.2%CL$190,556.65CL$127,628.64CL$198,060.0030
Dec ’23CL$198,060.00
CL$168,260.00
-15.0%
10.2%CL$202,607.40CL$135,699.84CL$198,060.0029
Nov ’23CL$198,060.00
CL$185,451.11
-6.4%
8.1%CL$217,034.75CL$156,693.25CL$198,060.0029

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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