Cencosud S.A.

SNSE:CENCOSUD Stock Report

Market Cap: CL$6.0t

Cencosud Valuation

Is CENCOSUD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CENCOSUD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CENCOSUD (CLP2150) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP3938.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CENCOSUD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CENCOSUD?

Key metric: As CENCOSUD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CENCOSUD. This is calculated by dividing CENCOSUD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CENCOSUD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.7x
EarningsCL$226.03b
Market CapCL$6.03t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CENCOSUD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CENCOSUD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
SMU SMU
13.3x-10.0%CL$927.9b
LULU Lulu Retail Holdings
20.9x14.8%د.إ19.6b
CA Carrefour
10.7x14.0%€8.9b
99SMART 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings Berhad
48.6x14.0%RM 20.5b
CENCOSUD Cencosud
26.7x26.1%CL$6.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CENCOSUD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CENCOSUD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CENCOSUD 26.7xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CENCOSUD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CENCOSUD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CENCOSUD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.7x
Fair PE Ratio21.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CENCOSUD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CENCOSUD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$2,150.00
CL$2,330.91
+8.4%
11.5%CL$2,600.00CL$1,600.00n/a11
Dec ’25CL$2,050.00
CL$2,120.83
+3.5%
12.7%CL$2,600.00CL$1,600.00n/a12
Nov ’25CL$1,994.00
CL$2,100.00
+5.3%
13.3%CL$2,600.00CL$1,600.00n/a12
Oct ’25CL$1,813.00
CL$2,087.50
+15.1%
12.1%CL$2,600.00CL$1,650.00n/a12
Sep ’25CL$1,850.00
CL$2,062.73
+11.5%
14.0%CL$2,600.00CL$1,490.00n/a11
Aug ’25CL$1,750.00
CL$2,040.91
+16.6%
14.1%CL$2,600.00CL$1,490.00n/a11
Jul ’25CL$1,736.10
CL$2,008.18
+15.7%
14.3%CL$2,600.00CL$1,430.00n/a11
Jun ’25CL$1,723.90
CL$2,008.18
+16.5%
14.3%CL$2,600.00CL$1,430.00n/a11
May ’25CL$1,645.10
CL$2,004.55
+21.8%
14.7%CL$2,600.00CL$1,390.00n/a11
Apr ’25CL$1,715.00
CL$2,022.73
+17.9%
14.8%CL$2,600.00CL$1,390.00n/a11
Mar ’25CL$1,707.00
CL$2,002.00
+17.3%
15.7%CL$2,600.00CL$1,300.00n/a10
Feb ’25CL$1,645.00
CL$2,035.00
+23.7%
17.0%CL$2,600.00CL$1,180.00n/a10
Jan ’25CL$1,655.00
CL$2,026.00
+22.4%
17.2%CL$2,600.00CL$1,180.00n/a10
Dec ’24CL$1,595.00
CL$2,026.00
+27.0%
17.2%CL$2,600.00CL$1,180.00CL$2,050.0010
Nov ’24CL$1,450.00
CL$1,975.00
+36.2%
14.2%CL$2,400.00CL$1,320.00CL$1,994.0010
Oct ’24CL$1,685.00
CL$2,014.55
+19.6%
14.6%CL$2,400.00CL$1,320.00CL$1,813.0011
Sep ’24CL$1,840.00
CL$1,985.91
+7.9%
14.3%CL$2,400.00CL$1,320.00CL$1,850.0011
Aug ’24CL$1,837.00
CL$1,949.55
+6.1%
15.3%CL$2,400.00CL$1,320.00CL$1,750.0011
Jul ’24CL$1,553.90
CL$1,925.91
+23.9%
15.3%CL$2,400.00CL$1,370.00CL$1,736.1011
Jun ’24CL$1,508.00
CL$1,907.27
+26.5%
16.4%CL$2,400.00CL$1,370.00CL$1,723.9011
May ’24CL$1,645.00
CL$1,910.00
+16.1%
17.4%CL$2,400.00CL$1,320.00CL$1,645.1010
Apr ’24CL$1,536.00
CL$1,881.00
+22.5%
19.1%CL$2,400.00CL$1,320.00CL$1,715.0010
Mar ’24CL$1,539.00
CL$1,823.00
+18.5%
21.4%CL$2,400.00CL$1,160.00CL$1,707.0010
Feb ’24CL$1,420.00
CL$1,823.00
+28.4%
21.4%CL$2,400.00CL$1,160.00CL$1,645.0010
Jan ’24CL$1,395.00
CL$1,744.29
+25.0%
24.4%CL$2,400.00CL$1,140.00CL$1,655.007
Dec ’23CL$1,325.00
CL$1,778.75
+34.2%
24.1%CL$2,400.00CL$1,140.00CL$1,595.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Cencosud S.A. is covered by 27 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Robert Ford AguilarBofA Global Research
Felipe Cassimiro de FreitasBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários