Stock Analysis

Cicor Technologies (VTX:CICN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SWX:CICN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Cicor Technologies Ltd. (VTX:CICN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Cicor Technologies

What Is Cicor Technologies's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2020 Cicor Technologies had debt of CHF57.7m, up from CHF55.0m in one year. However, it also had CHF37.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CHF20.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:CICN Debt to Equity History November 19th 2020

How Strong Is Cicor Technologies's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cicor Technologies had liabilities of CHF49.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF60.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CHF37.4m and CHF39.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CHF32.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Cicor Technologies has a market capitalization of CHF134.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Cicor Technologies's net debt is only 0.92 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 30.0 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Cicor Technologies's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 22% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Cicor Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Cicor Technologies recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Cicor Technologies's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. We think that Cicor Technologies's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Cicor Technologies that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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