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Why We're Not Concerned About Vetropack Holding AG's (VTX:VETN) Share Price
Vetropack Holding AG's (VTX:VETN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.5x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Switzerland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 19x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Vetropack Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Vetropack Holding
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Vetropack Holding's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 118% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Vetropack Holding's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Vetropack Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Vetropack Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:VETN
Vetropack Holding
Provides glass packaging products for the food and beverage industry.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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