Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate Ypsomed Holding AG (VTX:YPSN) At CHF298?

SWX:YPSN
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While Ypsomed Holding AG (VTX:YPSN) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the SWX. As a CHF4.1b market-cap stock, it seems odd Ypsomed Holding is not more well-covered by analysts. Although, there is more of an opportunity for mispricing in stocks with low coverage, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Ypsomed Holding’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Ypsomed Holding

Is Ypsomed Holding Still Cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 56.17x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 48.32x, which means if you buy Ypsomed Holding today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Ypsomed Holding should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. In addition to this, it seems like Ypsomed Holding’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What kind of growth will Ypsomed Holding generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:YPSN Earnings and Revenue Growth December 5th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Ypsomed Holding's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 85%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in YPSN’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at YPSN? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on YPSN, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for YPSN, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Ypsomed Holding and you'll want to know about this.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.