Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcon (VTX:ALC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SWX:ALC
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Alcon Inc. (VTX:ALC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Alcon

How Much Debt Does Alcon Carry?

As you can see below, Alcon had US$4.69b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$1.15b in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.55b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:ALC Debt to Equity History May 28th 2024

How Strong Is Alcon's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Alcon had liabilities of US$2.27b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$6.47b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.15b as well as receivables valued at US$2.10b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Alcon has a humongous market capitalization of US$44.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Alcon's net debt of 1.6 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.9 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Alcon has boosted its EBIT by 37%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alcon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Alcon recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Alcon's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Alcon commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Alcon is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Alcon, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.