Stock Analysis

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Barry Callebaut AG (VTX:BARN)

SWX:BARN
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When close to half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Barry Callebaut AG (VTX:BARN) as an attractive investment with its 16.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Barry Callebaut certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Barry Callebaut

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:BARN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Barry Callebaut will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Barry Callebaut would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 41% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.6% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.1% per year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Barry Callebaut is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Barry Callebaut's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Barry Callebaut currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Barry Callebaut that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Barry Callebaut, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Barry Callebaut is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.