We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Barry Callebaut Valuation

Is BARN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BARN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BARN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.5x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BARN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BARN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
EMMN Emmi
27.5x8.7%CHF5.0b
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
45x7.7%CHF25.6b
BELL Bell Food Group
13.5x2.8%CHF1.7b
ARYN ARYZTA
32.7x14.8%CHF1.5b
BARN Barry Callebaut
28x11.0%CHF10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BARN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the peer average (29.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BARN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BARN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BARN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BARN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BARN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BARN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BARN (CHF1897) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF2312.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BARN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BARN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF1,897.00
CHF2,308.33
+21.7%
8.6%CHF2,800.00CHF2,075.00n/a12
May ’24CHF1,904.00
CHF2,309.58
+21.3%
8.7%CHF2,800.00CHF2,075.00n/a12
Apr ’24CHF1,939.00
CHF2,301.09
+18.7%
7.1%CHF2,600.00CHF2,097.00n/a11
Mar ’24CHF1,861.00
CHF2,285.17
+22.8%
5.8%CHF2,500.00CHF2,100.00n/a12
Feb ’24CHF1,907.00
CHF2,285.17
+19.8%
5.8%CHF2,500.00CHF2,100.00n/a12
Jan ’24CHF1,829.00
CHF2,277.08
+24.5%
6.3%CHF2,500.00CHF2,050.00n/a12
Dec ’23CHF1,932.00
CHF2,288.64
+18.5%
6.5%CHF2,500.00CHF2,050.00n/a11
Nov ’23CHF1,859.00
CHF2,349.64
+26.4%
6.9%CHF2,600.00CHF2,056.00n/a11
Oct ’23CHF1,869.00
CHF2,404.82
+28.7%
8.0%CHF2,600.00CHF2,013.00n/a11
Sep ’23CHF1,962.00
CHF2,418.45
+23.3%
8.1%CHF2,600.00CHF2,013.00n/a11
Aug ’23CHF2,104.00
CHF2,422.00
+15.1%
7.8%CHF2,600.00CHF2,052.00n/a11
Jul ’23CHF2,144.00
CHF2,488.18
+16.1%
6.1%CHF2,700.00CHF2,200.00n/a11
Jun ’23CHF2,098.00
CHF2,477.00
+18.1%
6.2%CHF2,700.00CHF2,200.00n/a10
May ’23CHF2,254.00
CHF2,472.00
+9.7%
5.5%CHF2,630.00CHF2,200.00CHF1,904.0010
Apr ’23CHF2,200.00
CHF2,468.89
+12.2%
6.3%CHF2,630.00CHF2,200.00CHF1,939.009
Mar ’23CHF2,168.00
CHF2,480.00
+14.4%
6.7%CHF2,700.00CHF2,200.00CHF1,861.009
Feb ’23CHF2,132.00
CHF2,480.00
+16.3%
6.7%CHF2,700.00CHF2,200.00CHF1,907.009
Jan ’23CHF2,216.00
CHF2,395.56
+8.1%
13.1%CHF2,700.00CHF1,640.00CHF1,829.009
Dec ’22CHF2,180.00
CHF2,398.13
+10.0%
13.2%CHF2,650.00CHF1,640.00CHF1,932.008
Nov ’22CHF2,120.00
CHF2,309.38
+8.9%
11.9%CHF2,600.00CHF1,640.00CHF1,859.008
Oct ’22CHF2,110.00
CHF2,309.38
+9.4%
11.9%CHF2,600.00CHF1,640.00CHF1,869.008
Sep ’22CHF2,342.00
CHF2,305.63
-1.6%
11.9%CHF2,600.00CHF1,640.00CHF1,962.008
Aug ’22CHF2,296.00
CHF2,305.63
+0.4%
11.9%CHF2,600.00CHF1,640.00CHF2,104.008
Jul ’22CHF2,152.00
CHF2,222.50
+3.3%
11.3%CHF2,500.00CHF1,640.00CHF2,144.008
Jun ’22CHF2,038.00
CHF2,201.50
+8.0%
11.0%CHF2,500.00CHF1,640.00CHF2,098.008
May ’22CHF2,016.00
CHF2,198.14
+9.0%
11.7%CHF2,500.00CHF1,640.00CHF2,254.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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