Emmi Valuation
Is EMMN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of EMMN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: EMMN (CHF819) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF1480.01)
Significantly Below Fair Value: EMMN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EMMN?
Key metric: As EMMN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is EMMN's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 22.7x |
| Earnings | CHF 192.84m |
| Market Cap | CHF 4.38b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does EMMN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 26.8x | ||
BARN Barry Callebaut | 39x | 24.8% | CHF 7.4b |
BELL Bell Food Group | 13x | -0.7% | CHF 1.7b |
ARYN ARYZTA | 21.6x | 16.9% | CHF 1.5b |
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli | 33.5x | 6.2% | CHF 23.1b |
EMMN Emmi | 22.7x | 13.0% | CHF 4.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EMMN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the peer average (26.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does EMMN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?
| 3 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EMMN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is EMMN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 22.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 21.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EMMN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CHF 819.00 | CHF 1,000.25 +22.1% | 10.3% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 855.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’25 | CHF 828.00 | CHF 1,000.25 +20.8% | 10.3% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 855.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | CHF 856.00 | CHF 1,000.25 +16.9% | 10.3% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 855.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | CHF 883.00 | CHF 1,000.25 +13.3% | 10.3% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 855.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | CHF 923.00 | CHF 998.25 +8.2% | 10.2% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 855.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’25 | CHF 891.00 | CHF 993.60 +11.5% | 9.4% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 840.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | CHF 900.00 | CHF 990.80 +10.1% | 9.2% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 840.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | CHF 895.00 | CHF 990.80 +10.7% | 9.2% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 840.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | CHF 895.00 | CHF 989.00 +10.5% | 9.1% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 840.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | CHF 912.00 | CHF 993.00 +8.9% | 9.2% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 840.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | CHF 904.00 | CHF 998.20 +10.4% | 9.7% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 815.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | CHF 911.00 | CHF 1,009.40 +10.8% | 10.8% | CHF 1,150.00 | CHF 815.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | CHF 900.00 | CHF 1,009.40 +12.2% | 10.8% | CHF 1,150.00 | CHF 815.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | CHF 860.00 | CHF 1,009.40 +17.4% | 10.8% | CHF 1,150.00 | CHF 815.00 | CHF 828.00 | 5 |
| Oct ’24 | CHF 864.00 | CHF 1,009.40 +16.8% | 10.8% | CHF 1,150.00 | CHF 815.00 | CHF 856.00 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | CHF 934.00 | CHF 982.00 +5.1% | 11.9% | CHF 1,150.00 | CHF 815.00 | CHF 883.00 | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | CHF 854.00 | CHF 969.60 +13.5% | 7.5% | CHF 1,071.00 | CHF 847.00 | CHF 923.00 | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | CHF 863.00 | CHF 964.60 +11.8% | 6.9% | CHF 1,046.00 | CHF 847.00 | CHF 891.00 | 5 |
| Jun ’24 | CHF 926.00 | CHF 964.60 +4.2% | 6.9% | CHF 1,046.00 | CHF 847.00 | CHF 900.00 | 5 |
| May ’24 | CHF 929.00 | CHF 964.60 +3.8% | 6.9% | CHF 1,046.00 | CHF 847.00 | CHF 895.00 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | CHF 918.00 | CHF 932.17 +1.5% | 10.2% | CHF 1,046.00 | CHF 770.00 | CHF 895.00 | 6 |
| Mar ’24 | CHF 870.00 | CHF 944.00 +8.5% | 11.3% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 770.00 | CHF 912.00 | 6 |
| Feb ’24 | CHF 866.00 | CHF 942.67 +8.9% | 11.1% | CHF 1,100.00 | CHF 770.00 | CHF 904.00 | 6 |
| Jan ’24 | CHF 783.00 | CHF 910.20 +16.2% | 8.6% | CHF 1,013.00 | CHF 770.00 | CHF 911.00 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | CHF 828.00 | CHF 920.20 +11.1% | 6.6% | CHF 1,013.00 | CHF 820.00 | CHF 900.00 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | CHF 793.00 | CHF 916.20 +15.5% | 6.7% | CHF 1,013.00 | CHF 820.00 | CHF 860.00 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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