Emmi Valuation

Is EMMN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EMMN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EMMN (CHF737) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF1408.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EMMN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EMMN?

Key metric: As EMMN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EMMN. This is calculated by dividing EMMN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EMMN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.4x
EarningsCHF 192.84m
Market CapCHF 3.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EMMN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EMMN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
BARN Barry Callebaut
36.2x24.0%CHF 6.9b
BELL Bell Food Group
12.8x-0.7%CHF 1.6b
ARYN ARYZTA
22.6x16.9%CHF 1.6b
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
33.1x6.4%CHF 22.8b
EMMN Emmi
20.4x11.8%CHF 3.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EMMN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EMMN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EMMN 20.4xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EMMN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EMMN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EMMN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EMMN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EMMN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 737.00
CHF 941.75
+27.8%
16.0%CHF 1,100.00CHF 715.00n/a4
Dec ’25CHF 771.00
CHF 1,000.25
+29.7%
10.3%CHF 1,100.00CHF 855.00n/a4
Nov ’25CHF 828.00
CHF 1,000.25
+20.8%
10.3%CHF 1,100.00CHF 855.00n/a4
Oct ’25CHF 856.00
CHF 1,000.25
+16.9%
10.3%CHF 1,100.00CHF 855.00n/a4
Sep ’25CHF 883.00
CHF 1,000.25
+13.3%
10.3%CHF 1,100.00CHF 855.00n/a4
Aug ’25CHF 923.00
CHF 998.25
+8.2%
10.2%CHF 1,100.00CHF 855.00n/a4
Jul ’25CHF 891.00
CHF 993.60
+11.5%
9.4%CHF 1,100.00CHF 840.00n/a5
Jun ’25CHF 900.00
CHF 990.80
+10.1%
9.2%CHF 1,100.00CHF 840.00n/a5
May ’25CHF 895.00
CHF 990.80
+10.7%
9.2%CHF 1,100.00CHF 840.00n/a5
Apr ’25CHF 895.00
CHF 989.00
+10.5%
9.1%CHF 1,100.00CHF 840.00n/a5
Mar ’25CHF 912.00
CHF 993.00
+8.9%
9.2%CHF 1,100.00CHF 840.00n/a5
Feb ’25CHF 904.00
CHF 998.20
+10.4%
9.7%CHF 1,100.00CHF 815.00n/a5
Jan ’25CHF 911.00
CHF 1,009.40
+10.8%
10.8%CHF 1,150.00CHF 815.00n/a5
Dec ’24CHF 900.00
CHF 1,009.40
+12.2%
10.8%CHF 1,150.00CHF 815.00CHF 771.005
Nov ’24CHF 860.00
CHF 1,009.40
+17.4%
10.8%CHF 1,150.00CHF 815.00CHF 828.005
Oct ’24CHF 864.00
CHF 1,009.40
+16.8%
10.8%CHF 1,150.00CHF 815.00CHF 856.005
Sep ’24CHF 934.00
CHF 982.00
+5.1%
11.9%CHF 1,150.00CHF 815.00CHF 883.006
Aug ’24CHF 854.00
CHF 969.60
+13.5%
7.5%CHF 1,071.00CHF 847.00CHF 923.005
Jul ’24CHF 863.00
CHF 964.60
+11.8%
6.9%CHF 1,046.00CHF 847.00CHF 891.005
Jun ’24CHF 926.00
CHF 964.60
+4.2%
6.9%CHF 1,046.00CHF 847.00CHF 900.005
May ’24CHF 929.00
CHF 964.60
+3.8%
6.9%CHF 1,046.00CHF 847.00CHF 895.005
Apr ’24CHF 918.00
CHF 932.17
+1.5%
10.2%CHF 1,046.00CHF 770.00CHF 895.006
Mar ’24CHF 870.00
CHF 944.00
+8.5%
11.3%CHF 1,100.00CHF 770.00CHF 912.006
Feb ’24CHF 866.00
CHF 942.67
+8.9%
11.1%CHF 1,100.00CHF 770.00CHF 904.006
Jan ’24CHF 783.00
CHF 910.20
+16.2%
8.6%CHF 1,013.00CHF 770.00CHF 911.005
Dec ’23CHF 828.00
CHF 920.20
+11.1%
6.6%CHF 1,013.00CHF 820.00CHF 900.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 06:34
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Emmi AG is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Andreas von ArxBaader Helvea Equity Research
Pascal FurgerBank Vontobel AG