UBS Group AG

SWX:UBSG Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 122.1b

UBS Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

UBS Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.3% and 2.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14% in 3 years.

Key information

12.3%

Earnings growth rate

14.14%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth11.7%
Revenue growth rate2.4%
Future return on equity14.04%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated12 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Aug 02

UBS Group AG Just Recorded A 5.3% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

UBS Group AG ( VTX:UBSG ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company beat...

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 02

UBSG: Capital Flexibility And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Narrative Update: UBS Group Analyst Price Target Shift The updated analyst price work on UBS Group points to a small adjustment in fair value, with the target moving by about CHF 1. Analysts are factoring in revised discount rates, slightly different profit margin expectations, and updated forward P/E assumptions supported by recent price target changes clustered around CHF 40.
Narrative Update • May 14

UBSG: Future Capital Hike And Legal Disputes Will Constrain Re Rating

Analysts have been nudging UBS Group price targets higher, with recent CHF 1 to CHF 3.40 upward revisions culminating in a CHF 40 target, supported by updated assumptions on growth, profitability and P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a cluster of upward price target revisions on UBS Group, with the latest move taking one target to CHF 40.
Narrative Update • Apr 28

UBSG: Capital Demands And Legal Overhang Will Shape Future Re Rating Potential

UBS Group's fair value estimate has been updated from CHF 30.00 to CHF 32.00, reflecting analysts' recent price target revisions and refreshed assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revisiting both ratings and price targets in light of updated assumptions on growth, profitability and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update • Apr 14

UBSG: Legal And Execution Risks Will Constrain Future Re Rating Potential

UBS Group's analyst price target has shifted slightly, with CHF level adjustments reflecting updated views on more modest revenue growth, a higher profit margin outlook, and recalibrated P/E expectations following recent target cuts and downgrades by several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group points to a more cautious undertone, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and, in one case, moving to a less favorable rating.
Narrative Update • Mar 31

UBSG: Capital Flexibility And Buybacks Will Drive Future Repricing Potential

UBS Group's updated analyst price target edges higher to CHF 51.07 from CHF 50.79, as analysts factor in slightly lower assumed revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, and a small adjustment to the forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group shows a mix of views, with some analysts trimming price targets and others setting higher levels.
Narrative Update • Mar 17

UBSG: Medium Term Earnings Will Benefit From Capital Returns And Fee Partnerships

Analysts have adjusted their average price target on UBS Group to about CHF 38.40 from roughly CHF 33.90, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations following recent mixed research actions from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on UBS Group has been mixed, with some firms trimming targets or ratings and others lifting their fair value estimates.
Narrative Update • Mar 03

UBSG: Legal Overhang And Mixed Execution Risks Will Shape Future Re Rating Potential

Analysts have modestly raised their UBS Group fair value estimate to CHF 30.00 from CHF 28.00. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations following recent shifts in Street price targets and ratings.
Narrative Update • Feb 17

UBSG: Higher P/E Expectations Will Drive Future Repricing Versus Political Breakup Risk

Analysts have revised their CHF based price target for UBS Group upward to reflect a higher estimated fair value of about CHF 50.79, with recent Street research pointing to adjusted views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following mixed target moves at Citi, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, as well as a fresh downgrade at Goldman Sachs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and one high profile downgrade shaping how investors are thinking about the shares.
Narrative Update • Feb 02

UBSG: Legal And Regulatory Overhang Will Constrain Future Re-Rating Potential

UBS Group's latest narrative update reflects a higher implied analyst price target in CHF terms. Analysts cite modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, a slightly stronger profit margin outlook and a marginally lower future P/E as key drivers of their revised view.
Narrative Update • Jan 19

UBSG: Execution And Legal Risks Will Challenge Sustainability Of Current Valuation

Analysts have lifted their price targets on UBS Group into a CHF 30 to CHF 43 range, citing updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin and a small increase in the future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group shows a wide range of views, with price targets stretching from CHF 30 to CHF 43 and ratings running from Underweight to Overweight.
Narrative Update • Jan 05

UBSG: Higher P/E Expectations Will Shape Future Repricing Versus Regulatory Risks

The updated analyst price target for UBS Group moves from CHF 39.50 to about CHF 45.36. Analysts attribute this change to a slightly higher assumed discount rate and P/E multiple, along with revised expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, supported by recent target increases from several major firms even as ratings remain mixed.
Narrative Update • Dec 22

UBSG: Rising Profit Margins Will Strain Sustainability At Current Share Price

The analyst price target for UBS Group has been raised by roughly CHF 5 to CHF 28. Analysts are factoring in stronger profit margins and a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly softer revenue growth assumptions.
Narrative Update • Dec 08

UBSG: Medium-Term Earnings And Capital Returns Will Withstand Escalating Regulatory Pressures

The analyst price target for UBS Group has inched higher, with fair value moving from approximately CHF 33.77 to CHF 33.89, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth expectations despite modestly softer margin assumptions and a marginally higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group highlights a broadly constructive stance on the bank's medium term earnings power, with several upward revisions to price targets reflecting improved confidence in execution and capital return, even as a few houses turn more cautious on near term upside.
Narrative Update • Nov 24

UBSG: Medium-Term Profit Stability Will Support Shareholder Returns Despite Regulatory Uncertainty

UBS Group's analyst price target saw a moderate increase and rose to CHF 33.77, as analysts cited slightly improved revenue growth and stable profitability forecasts in their latest updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a nuanced outlook on UBS Group, with both bullish and cautious perspectives evident in recent analyst actions and commentary.
Narrative Update • Nov 09

UBSG: Ongoing Margin Improvements Will Drive Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead

The analyst price target for UBS Group has been raised slightly to CHF 33.77. Analysts cited improved profit margin forecasts and ongoing adjustments to growth expectations as key factors behind the increase.
Narrative Update • Oct 26

Revenue Expansion And Regulatory Developments Will Drive Operational Efficiency Forward

UBS Group's analyst price target has been raised modestly. Recent increases from CHF 27 to CHF 38 by various analysts reflect expectations for improved revenue growth and continued operational strength.
Narrative Update • Oct 12

Global Banking Integration And Digital Transformation Will Improve Efficiency

UBS Group's analyst price target has increased from CHF 32.69 to CHF 33.35. This reflects modest optimism as analysts cite improved earnings visibility and stronger risk management, which support a more favorable valuation outlook.
Narrative Update • Sep 28

Global Banking Integration And Digital Transformation Will Improve Efficiency

Analysts have raised their price targets for UBS Group to CHF32.69, citing improving long-term earnings prospects and the view that integration risks and macro headwinds are already reflected in the share price, with the stock expected to remain range-bound ahead of Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite expanding earnings potential for UBS through 2028 as a driver for higher price targets.
Narrative Update • Aug 27

Global Banking Integration And Digital Transformation Will Improve Efficiency

The consensus analyst price target for UBS Group has been modestly raised to CHF31.91 as growing confidence in medium-term earnings expansion offsets caution around capital return policies and regulatory headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect UBS's earnings to continue expanding until at least 2028.
Analysis Article • Aug 02

UBS Group AG Just Recorded A 5.3% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

UBS Group AG ( VTX:UBSG ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company beat...
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 23

Credit Suisse Integration And Technology Investments To Boost Efficiency By 2026

Strategic focus on digital transformation and technology aims to enhance client engagement and boost future earnings through improved operating leverage.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SWX:UBSG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202854,88213,945N/AN/A12
12/31/202752,99512,809N/AN/A12
12/31/202651,72210,357N/AN/A12
3/31/202651,3119,115N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202549,5967,76732,42834,790N/A
9/30/202548,2867,33818,69920,935N/A
6/30/202547,9886,28217,23019,434N/A
3/31/202547,8545,02230,96233,115N/A
12/31/202448,0295,08516,34318,351N/A
9/30/202447,2084,03635,10537,033N/A
6/30/202446,4371,89624,18825,956N/A
3/31/202443,54128,09248,52850,251N/A
12/31/202339,61427,36631,59733,282N/A
9/30/202336,85129,29834,08035,769N/A
6/30/202333,56431,74632,56134,273N/A
3/31/202333,6296,523-8,436-6,820N/A
12/31/202234,1777,63021,69623,339N/A
9/30/202235,3157,32523,46525,133N/A
6/30/202236,2747,87150,00551,711N/A
3/31/202236,1267,76953,70855,519N/A
12/31/202135,5027,457-2411,600N/A
9/30/202134,9257,745-5,127-3,248N/A
6/30/202134,7327,559-39,254-37,335N/A
3/31/202133,3066,786-30,940-29,028N/A
12/31/202032,3866,55735,10436,958N/A
9/30/202031,2925,64319,56621,325N/A
6/30/202029,4434,59924,29225,925N/A
3/31/202029,6064,75818,06119,652N/A
12/31/201928,9274,304N/A-3,512N/A
9/30/201928,9403,897N/A-4,898N/A
6/30/201929,2884,101N/A-7,554N/A
3/31/201929,3374,091N/A6,920N/A
12/31/201830,5034,516N/A19,775N/A
9/30/201830,3291,698N/A-9,997N/A
6/30/201830,4791,458N/A-11,538N/A
3/31/201829,8621,204N/A-26,457N/A
12/31/201729,591969N/A-39,137N/A
9/30/201729,9544,157N/A-8,887N/A
6/30/201730,1264,073N/A715N/A
3/31/201728,9793,760N/A-23,717N/A
1/1/201728,8243,348N/A-51,785N/A
9/30/201628,8653,619N/A-55,774N/A
6/30/201628,8954,879N/A-51,901N/A
3/31/201629,7725,147N/A-7,125N/A
12/31/201530,5666,196N/A21,487N/A
9/30/201531,3126,259N/A8,598N/A
6/30/201532,3395,132N/A2,478N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UBSG's forecast earnings growth (12.3% per year) is above the savings rate (0.6%).

Earnings vs Market: UBSG's earnings (12.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Swiss market (10.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UBSG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UBSG's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Swiss market (4.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UBSG's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UBSG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/17 17:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/17 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

UBS Group AG is covered by 35 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Reto AmstaldenBaader Helvea Equity Research
Ignacio Mendez TerrosoBanco Santander
Krishnendra DubeyBarclays