Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Georg Fischer (VTX:GF), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Georg Fischer, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = CHF318m ÷ (CHF3.7b - CHF1.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Therefore, Georg Fischer has an ROCE of 13%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 14% generated by the Machinery industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Georg Fischer
In the above chart we have measured Georg Fischer's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Georg Fischer's ROCE Trend?
Things have been pretty stable at Georg Fischer, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Georg Fischer to be a multi-bagger going forward. This probably explains why Georg Fischer is paying out 37% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
In Conclusion...
In a nutshell, Georg Fischer has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And with the stock having returned a mere 12% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
Georg Fischer could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.
While Georg Fischer isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:GF
Georg Fischer
Engages in the provision of piping systems, and casting and machining solutions in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally.
Good value with moderate growth potential.