Georg Fischer Valuation

Is GF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GF (CHF64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF83.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GF?

Key metric: As GF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GF. This is calculated by dividing GF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsCHF 209.00m
Market CapCHF 5.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
SUN Sulzer
18.7x11.3%CHF 4.6b
SFSN SFS Group
19.1x10.7%CHF 4.9b
VACN VAT Group
51.4x21.8%CHF 10.4b
DAE Dätwyler Holding
31.4x27.3%CHF 2.3b
GF Georg Fischer
25.1x19.3%CHF 5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GF 25.7xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies29PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio28.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 65.70
CHF 74.67
+13.6%
5.6%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Nov ’25CHF 62.40
CHF 74.50
+19.4%
5.0%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Oct ’25CHF 62.75
CHF 75.33
+20.1%
5.7%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Sep ’25CHF 67.15
CHF 75.50
+12.4%
5.4%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Aug ’25CHF 64.70
CHF 75.50
+16.7%
5.4%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Jul ’25CHF 60.30
CHF 75.00
+24.4%
7.2%CHF 82.00CHF 66.00n/a7
Jun ’25CHF 65.20
CHF 75.14
+15.2%
6.8%CHF 82.00CHF 67.00n/a7
May ’25CHF 64.50
CHF 74.43
+15.4%
6.4%CHF 82.00CHF 67.00n/a7
Apr ’25CHF 66.90
CHF 72.00
+7.6%
10.9%CHF 82.00CHF 56.00n/a7
Mar ’25CHF 66.00
CHF 70.43
+6.7%
9.1%CHF 77.00CHF 56.00n/a7
Feb ’25CHF 58.60
CHF 69.67
+18.9%
9.7%CHF 77.00CHF 56.00n/a6
Jan ’25CHF 61.10
CHF 69.67
+14.0%
9.7%CHF 77.00CHF 56.00n/a6
Dec ’24CHF 57.45
CHF 69.17
+20.4%
9.0%CHF 75.00CHF 56.00n/a6
Nov ’24CHF 46.24
CHF 69.92
+51.2%
10.2%CHF 75.00CHF 54.50CHF 62.406
Oct ’24CHF 51.65
CHF 72.43
+40.2%
3.2%CHF 75.00CHF 69.55CHF 62.756
Sep ’24CHF 57.30
CHF 73.76
+28.7%
3.9%CHF 77.00CHF 69.55CHF 67.156
Aug ’24CHF 59.45
CHF 75.59
+27.2%
5.9%CHF 81.00CHF 69.55CHF 64.706
Jul ’24CHF 67.15
CHF 75.67
+12.7%
5.7%CHF 81.00CHF 70.00CHF 60.306
Jun ’24CHF 60.60
CHF 74.79
+23.4%
7.6%CHF 81.00CHF 63.50CHF 65.207
May ’24CHF 64.75
CHF 74.97
+15.8%
7.1%CHF 81.00CHF 64.80CHF 64.507
Apr ’24CHF 70.90
CHF 71.69
+1.1%
9.2%CHF 80.00CHF 60.00CHF 66.907
Mar ’24CHF 67.20
CHF 65.86
-2.0%
9.9%CHF 72.00CHF 53.00CHF 66.007
Feb ’24CHF 63.25
CHF 65.14
+3.0%
9.7%CHF 72.00CHF 53.00CHF 58.607
Jan ’24CHF 56.60
CHF 65.14
+15.1%
9.7%CHF 72.00CHF 53.00CHF 61.107
Dec ’23CHF 57.60
CHF 64.86
+12.6%
9.3%CHF 71.00CHF 53.00CHF 57.457
Nov ’23CHF 55.15
CHF 67.07
+21.6%
8.5%CHF 77.50CHF 60.00CHF 46.247

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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