SFS Group AG

SWX:SFSN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 4.9b

SFS Group Valuation

Is SFSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFSN (CHF127.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF172.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFSN?

Key metric: As SFSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SFSN. This is calculated by dividing SFSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SFSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.7x
EarningsCHF 251.50m
Market CapCHF 4.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.2x
SUN Sulzer
18.5x11.2%CHF 4.5b
GF Georg Fischer
27x17.3%CHF 5.6b
BCHN Burckhardt Compression Holding
23.4x9.9%CHF 2.2b
KARN Kardex Holding
31.9x6.9%CHF 2.2b
SFSN SFS Group
19.7x10.3%CHF 4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the peer average (25.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SFSN 19.7xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies29PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 127.20
CHF 142.25
+11.8%
4.8%CHF 154.00CHF 137.00n/a4
Dec ’25CHF 127.60
CHF 139.00
+8.9%
2.9%CHF 145.00CHF 134.00n/a4
Nov ’25CHF 125.00
CHF 139.00
+11.2%
2.9%CHF 145.00CHF 134.00n/a4
Oct ’25CHF 131.80
CHF 133.60
+1.4%
8.5%CHF 145.00CHF 112.00n/a5
Sep ’25CHF 129.00
CHF 133.60
+3.6%
8.5%CHF 145.00CHF 112.00n/a5
Aug ’25CHF 128.20
CHF 133.60
+4.2%
8.5%CHF 145.00CHF 112.00n/a5
Jul ’25CHF 121.20
CHF 129.80
+7.1%
8.3%CHF 140.00CHF 109.00n/a5
Jun ’25CHF 122.00
CHF 127.00
+4.1%
8.8%CHF 140.00CHF 109.00n/a5
May ’25CHF 109.40
CHF 118.60
+8.4%
11.6%CHF 135.00CHF 98.00n/a5
Apr ’25CHF 118.60
CHF 117.60
-0.8%
10.7%CHF 131.00CHF 98.00n/a5
Mar ’25CHF 111.80
CHF 111.88
+0.07%
13.8%CHF 130.00CHF 85.00n/a6
Feb ’25CHF 106.40
CHF 111.88
+5.2%
13.8%CHF 130.00CHF 85.00n/a6
Jan ’25CHF 104.20
CHF 112.72
+8.2%
14.0%CHF 130.00CHF 85.00n/a6
Dec ’24CHF 98.10
CHF 112.72
+14.9%
14.0%CHF 130.00CHF 85.00CHF 127.606
Nov ’24CHF 90.70
CHF 116.88
+28.9%
17.0%CHF 145.00CHF 85.00CHF 125.006
Oct ’24CHF 100.20
CHF 120.05
+19.8%
15.1%CHF 145.00CHF 85.00CHF 131.806
Sep ’24CHF 101.80
CHF 124.61
+22.4%
16.2%CHF 152.00CHF 85.00CHF 129.007
Aug ’24CHF 103.40
CHF 125.67
+21.5%
17.8%CHF 155.00CHF 85.00CHF 128.206
Jul ’24CHF 117.80
CHF 124.83
+6.0%
20.6%CHF 155.00CHF 75.00CHF 121.206
Jun ’24CHF 121.00
CHF 123.08
+1.7%
21.6%CHF 155.00CHF 75.00CHF 122.006
May ’24CHF 116.20
CHF 123.08
+5.9%
21.6%CHF 155.00CHF 75.00CHF 109.406
Apr ’24CHF 118.40
CHF 117.92
-0.4%
22.7%CHF 155.00CHF 75.00CHF 118.606
Mar ’24CHF 110.80
CHF 115.17
+3.9%
23.7%CHF 154.00CHF 75.00CHF 111.806
Feb ’24CHF 107.00
CHF 115.17
+7.6%
23.7%CHF 154.00CHF 75.00CHF 106.406
Jan ’24CHF 87.50
CHF 115.17
+31.6%
23.7%CHF 154.00CHF 75.00CHF 104.206
Dec ’23CHF 92.40
CHF 115.17
+24.6%
23.7%CHF 154.00CHF 75.00CHF 98.106

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 18:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SFS Group AG is covered by 13 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Marta BruskaBaader Helvea Equity Research
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Christian ObstBaader Helvea Equity Research