When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. Having said that, after a brief look, Canadian Utilities (TSE:CU) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Canadian Utilities is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.05 = CA$1.0b ÷ (CA$21b - CA$1.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
Thus, Canadian Utilities has an ROCE of 5.0%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 4.7%.
Check out our latest analysis for Canadian Utilities
In the above chart we have measured Canadian Utilities' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Canadian Utilities.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Canadian Utilities' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 6.8%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Canadian Utilities becoming one if things continue as they have.
Our Take On Canadian Utilities' ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 25% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Canadian Utilities (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CU
Canadian Utilities
Engages in the electricity, natural gas, renewables, pipelines, and liquids businesses in Canada, Australia, and internationally.
Slight second-rate dividend payer.