Stock Analysis

TELUS (TSX:T) Is Down 5.7% After Pausing Dividend Growth And Issuing Hybrid Debt For Deleveraging – Has The Bull Case Changed?

  • In early December 2025, TELUS moved to reshape its balance sheet and capital allocation by issuing junior subordinated notes in both US$1.50 billion and C$800.00 million tranches, alongside tender offers for several long-dated bonds, while also pausing dividend growth and planning to phase out its discounted Dividend Reinvestment Plan.
  • This shift toward debt refinancing, deleveraging, and fully cash-covered dividends marks a clear reset of TELUS’s long-running income-focused approach in favour of balance sheet resilience and funding flexibility.
  • We’ll now examine how TELUS’s decision to pause dividend growth and emphasize deleveraging may alter the company’s long-term investment narrative.

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TELUS Investment Narrative Recap

To own TELUS, you need to believe its core connectivity, health and AI businesses can support a high dividend while it gradually strengthens a stretched balance sheet. The December 2025 junior subordinated note issuance and bond tenders point squarely at the key near term catalyst and risk: improving free cash flow and leverage in a context where interest costs are not well covered by earnings. These moves aim to address that pressure, but do not fully remove it.

Among the latest announcements, the partnership with Qohash to harden data protection in TELUS’s Fuel iX AI platform stands out in the context of its AI and digital infrastructure catalyst. Embedding Qostodian into TELUS’s sovereign AI stack speaks directly to the company’s effort to build higher value, less commoditized revenue streams that can complement slower growing wireless and internet services and, over time, support the deleveraging and dividend reset story.

However, investors should also be aware that TELUS’s elevated debt load and interest coverage constraints could still...

Read the full narrative on TELUS (it's free!)

TELUS’ narrative projects CA$22.7 billion revenue and CA$1.5 billion earnings by 2028.

Uncover how TELUS' forecasts yield a CA$23.06 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:T 1-Year Stock Price Chart
TSX:T 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see TELUS’s fair value between C$20 and about C$47.40, highlighting very different expectations for the stock’s upside. Against that wide range, TELUS’s heavy capital needs in fiber, 5G and AI infrastructure keep financial risk front and center for the company’s future performance.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on TELUS - why the stock might be worth just CA$20.00!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About TSX:T

TELUS

Provides a range of telecommunications and information technology products and services in Canada.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

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