Stock Analysis

Slammed 48% mCloud Technologies Corp. (CVE:MCLD) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

TSXV:MCLD.H
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The mCloud Technologies Corp. (CVE:MCLD) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 48%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 86% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, mCloud Technologies may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for mCloud Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:MCLD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does mCloud Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

mCloud Technologies could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think mCloud Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

mCloud Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 55%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 57% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 75% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that mCloud Technologies is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

mCloud Technologies' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

mCloud Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with mCloud Technologies (including 3 which are a bit unpleasant).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.