mCloud Technologies Corp. (CVE:MCLD) Stock's 48% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
mCloud Technologies Corp. (CVE:MCLD) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 48% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 86% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, mCloud Technologies may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for mCloud Technologies
What Does mCloud Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, mCloud Technologies' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on mCloud Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, mCloud Technologies would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 55%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 57% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 75% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that mCloud Technologies' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From mCloud Technologies' P/S?
The southerly movements of mCloud Technologies' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
To us, it seems mCloud Technologies currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for mCloud Technologies you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit unpleasant.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:MCLD.H
mCloud Technologies
Provides asset management platform solutions combining IoT, artificial intelligence (AI), and cloud in North America, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, and China.
Low with limited growth.