Lightspeed Commerce Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Lightspeed Commerce is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 90.6% and 10.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 105.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.1% in 3 years.
Key information
90.6%
Earnings growth rate
105.60%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 24.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.6% |
| Future return on equity | 7.06% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 29 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
LSPD: Long Term Product Execution Will Support Repriced Upside Potential
Lightspeed Commerce's consensus analyst price target has been reduced by a few Canadian dollars, with cuts ranging from CA$1 to CA$4, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Across the recent research updates, analysts are broadly aligned on trimming their price targets for Lightspeed Commerce by CA$1 to CA$4, as they recalibrate assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth and future P/E multiples.LSPD: Multi Year Product Execution And Profit Discipline Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target on Lightspeed Commerce by a few Canadian dollars to around CA$20, citing a series of recent target reductions from firms revisiting their assumptions on discount rates, long term growth, and sector valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lightspeed Commerce has focused on recalibrating price targets rather than changing overall ratings, with several firms trimming their estimates by between $1 and $4 and one large bank setting a target of $14 alongside an Equal Weight stance.LSPD: Product Execution And Profit Discipline Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analyst price targets for Lightspeed Commerce have been revised, with the updated fair value estimate increasing from CA$19.24 to CA$20.13 as analysts incorporate recent target cuts across the Street along with updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lightspeed Commerce has centered on resetting price targets, with several bearish analysts trimming their expectations while maintaining coverage.
LSPD: Sector Reset And AI Investments Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
The consensus analyst price target for Lightspeed Commerce has been reduced by CA$1.86. Analysts are incorporating slightly lower fair value estimates, a modestly higher discount rate, and more cautious revenue growth assumptions.LSPD: Product Execution And Margin Discipline Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their average price target for Lightspeed Commerce to about CA$19.24 from CA$19.78, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and updated P/E expectations, while revenue growth and profit margin inputs remain broadly consistent. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of reductions in Lightspeed Commerce price targets, often framed as adjustments to models and sector views rather than company specific revisions to revenue or margin assumptions.LSPD: Execution On Product Expansion And Margins Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Lightspeed Commerce, leading to a modest reduction in the modeled fair value to about $19.78. This change reflects slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E, partially offset by improved profit margin expectations.LSPD: Sector Reset And Legal Overhang Will Likely Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on Lightspeed Commerce to $14 from $15, citing updated sector assumptions and a refreshed outlook for software stocks into 2026. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cutting the 12 month price target to $14 are signaling a more guarded stance on Lightspeed Commerce, even as they see room for software stocks to re-rate into 2026.LSPD: Legal Settlement And Margin Pressure Will Likely Restrict Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Lightspeed Commerce, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margin potential and future P/E assumptions. This should be seen as a recalibration rather than a dramatic reset in expectations.LSPD: Execution Risk Will Likely Cap Upside Despite Guidance Raise
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Lightspeed Commerce from approximately $18 to about $14 per share, citing slower projected revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a more conservative earnings multiple, despite ongoing strategic progress. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight that the latest reset in expectations reflects lingering uncertainty around Lightspeed Commerce's ability to translate its strategic progress into consistent, high-quality earnings growth.LSPD: Sustained Execution In Growth Markets Will Drive Long-Term Expansion
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Lightspeed Commerce by about $0.13 to $20.26. They cite the need for consistent execution on growth and profitability strategies, while also recognizing ongoing progress.LSPD: Consistent Execution And Product Expansion Will Shape Profit Opportunities
Narrative Update on Lightspeed Commerce Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Lightspeed Commerce from $21.28 to $20.39. This reflects cautious optimism around improved profit margins and progress in revenue growth, while also noting the need for more consistent execution before a higher multiple is justified.Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (TSE:LSPD) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Nov 08
Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Lightspeed Commerce's (TSE:LSPD) Cash Burn Situation
Jul 21Little Excitement Around Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s (TSE:LSPD) Revenues As Shares Take 27% Pounding
Mar 28
Doubling Focus On North American Retail And European Hospitality Will Expand Software Offerings
Strategic focus on North American retail and European hospitality aims to drive revenue growth via increased software and payments ARPU.Is There An Opportunity With Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s (TSE:LSPD) 41% Undervaluation?
Mar 15Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Lightspeed Commerce's (TSE:LSPD) Cash Burn Situation
Feb 25A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s (TSE:LSPD) 27% Share Price Climb
Nov 28Analysts Are Updating Their Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (TSE:LSPD) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results
Nov 09Further Upside For Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (TSE:LSPD) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce
Sep 27We're Interested To See How Lightspeed Commerce (TSE:LSPD) Uses Its Cash Hoard To Grow
Sep 16Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s (TSE:LSPD) Revenues
Jun 11Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Lightspeed Commerce's (TSE:LSPD) Cash Burn Situation
May 14Investors Give Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (TSE:LSPD) Shares A 27% Hiding
Feb 21Lightspeed Commerce (TSE:LSPD) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business
Feb 07Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s (TSE:LSPD) Revenues
Jan 07An Intrinsic Calculation For Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (TSE:LSPD) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued
Dec 11Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2028 | 1,505 | -49 | 140 | 149 | 7 |
| 3/31/2027 | 1,353 | -90 | 89 | 71 | 15 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,219 | -137 | -4 | 71 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,190 | -692 | 7 | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,157 | -685 | -9 | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,116 | -682 | -37 | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,077 | -667 | -56 | -33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,054 | -124 | -74 | -51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,013 | -137 | -93 | -72 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 966 | -150 | -105 | -86 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 909 | -164 | -116 | -98 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 863 | -206 | -126 | -111 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 812 | -980 | -132 | -119 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 766 | -1,018 | -131 | -118 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 731 | -1,070 | -138 | -125 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 693 | -1,110 | -107 | -95 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 657 | -361 | -131 | -117 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 606 | -340 | -119 | -106 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 548 | -288 | -98 | -87 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 484 | -216 | -109 | -100 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 389 | -193 | -111 | -106 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 301 | -153 | -103 | -100 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 222 | -124 | -95 | -93 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 176 | -101 | -81 | -78 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 150 | -74 | -38 | -34 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 133 | -65 | -33 | -30 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 121 | -54 | -32 | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 106 | -131 | -23 | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 93 | -186 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 84 | -184 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 77 | -184 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 72 | -99 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 57 | -96 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 43 | -58 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 31 | -51 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: LSPD is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: LSPD is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: LSPD is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: LSPD's revenue (10.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: LSPD's revenue (10.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: LSPD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.1%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/29 18:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Martin Toner | ATB Cormark |
| Raimo Lenschow | Barclays |
| Mark Palmer | Benchmark Company |