Lightspeed Commerce Inc.

TSX:LSPD Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$3.4b

Lightspeed Commerce Valuation

Is LSPD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LSPD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LSPD (CA$22.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$33.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LSPD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LSPD?

Key metric: As LSPD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LSPD. This is calculated by dividing LSPD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LSPD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.4x
SalesUS$1.01b
Market CapUS$2.39b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LSPD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LSPD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.6x
KXS Kinaxis
7.4x12.9%CA$5.0b
DCBO Docebo
6.7x14.1%CA$2.0b
TOI Topicus.com
5.3x13.7%CA$9.8b
ENGH Enghouse Systems
3x5.5%CA$1.5b
LSPD Lightspeed Commerce
2.4x16.2%CA$3.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LSPD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (5.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LSPD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Software Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QUIS Quisitive Technology Solutions
0.6x5.5%US$67.50m
BTCW Bitcoin Well
0.5xn/aUS$26.52m
NOW NowVertical Group
0.5x5.3%US$23.05m
PLUR Plurilock Security
0.4xn/aUS$18.76m
LSPD 2.4xIndustry Avg. 3.2xNo. of Companies30PS03.26.49.612.816+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LSPD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the Canadian Software industry average (3.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LSPD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LSPD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio4.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LSPD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LSPD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$22.59
CA$28.55
+26.4%
19.8%CA$36.74CA$20.25n/a10
Dec ’25CA$26.25
CA$28.44
+8.3%
19.7%CA$36.57CA$20.16n/a10
Nov ’25CA$20.77
CA$26.92
+29.6%
21.7%CA$35.23CA$19.76n/a10
Oct ’25CA$22.18
CA$26.92
+21.4%
21.7%CA$35.23CA$19.76n/a10
Sep ’25CA$17.38
CA$27.83
+60.1%
20.5%CA$35.56CA$19.94n/a9
Aug ’25CA$18.28
CA$29.27
+60.1%
16.7%CA$36.28CA$22.04n/a9
Jul ’25CA$18.70
CA$29.30
+56.7%
14.9%CA$35.87CA$22.18n/a9
Jun ’25CA$19.76
CA$29.30
+48.3%
14.9%CA$35.87CA$22.18n/a9
May ’25CA$18.18
CA$29.10
+60.0%
14.3%CA$36.01CA$25.48n/a8
Apr ’25CA$19.25
CA$28.72
+49.2%
14.0%CA$35.32CA$25.00n/a8
Mar ’25CA$19.35
CA$28.72
+48.4%
14.0%CA$35.32CA$25.00n/a8
Feb ’25CA$24.80
CA$31.95
+28.8%
16.6%CA$41.75CA$25.45n/a8
Jan ’25CA$27.82
CA$30.52
+9.7%
19.1%CA$41.76CA$23.51n/a8
Dec ’24CA$22.83
CA$29.56
+29.5%
25.1%CA$42.08CA$16.64CA$26.258
Nov ’24CA$17.30
CA$32.03
+85.2%
25.2%CA$44.70CA$23.36CA$20.778
Oct ’24CA$19.08
CA$32.38
+69.7%
22.8%CA$43.77CA$23.06CA$22.188
Sep ’24CA$22.28
CA$32.93
+47.8%
20.9%CA$43.70CA$23.02CA$17.388
Aug ’24CA$22.92
CA$30.33
+32.3%
24.5%CA$41.95CA$20.49CA$18.288
Jul ’24CA$22.41
CA$30.47
+36.0%
32.5%CA$49.05CA$20.61CA$18.708
Jun ’24CA$19.91
CA$34.93
+75.4%
37.7%CA$63.12CA$21.01CA$19.7610
May ’24CA$17.56
CA$46.42
+164.4%
70.3%CA$142.15CA$22.37CA$18.1811
Apr ’24CA$20.55
CA$46.38
+125.7%
70.3%CA$142.01CA$22.35CA$19.2511
Mar ’24CA$20.64
CA$46.22
+123.9%
70.2%CA$141.34CA$22.25CA$19.3511
Feb ’24CA$24.88
CA$47.69
+91.7%
66.2%CA$139.78CA$21.88CA$24.8011
Jan ’24CA$19.35
CA$56.67
+192.9%
64.1%CA$139.91CA$21.95CA$27.8211
Dec ’23CA$23.18
CA$56.67
+144.5%
64.1%CA$139.91CA$21.95CA$22.8311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 00:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin TonerATB Capital Markets
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Raimo LenschowBarclays