Docebo Valuation

Is DCBO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DCBO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DCBO (CA$67.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$74.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DCBO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DCBO?

Key metric: As DCBO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DCBO. This is calculated by dividing DCBO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DCBO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio80.5x
EarningsUS$18.05m
Market CapUS$1.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DCBO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DCBO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average76.4x
ENGH Enghouse Systems
19.3x11.3%CA$1.6b
CMG Computer Modelling Group
40.1x26.1%CA$825.2m
KXS Kinaxis
166.1x42.9%CA$4.7b
TOI Topicus.com
80xn/aCA$9.7b
DCBO Docebo
80.5x38.7%CA$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DCBO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (80.5x) compared to the peer average (76.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DCBO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Software Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRDI Griid Infrastructure
3.3xn/aUS$70.78m
IDLE.X Generative AI Solutions
0.08xn/aUS$8.15m
LIQD Liquid Meta Capital Holdings
2.4xn/aUS$2.74m
SPAI Sparc Al
0.8xn/aUS$2.33m
DCBO 80.5xIndustry Avg. 40.1xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DCBO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (80.5x) compared to the Canadian Software industry average (40.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DCBO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DCBO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio80.5x
Fair PE Ratio50.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DCBO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (80.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DCBO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$67.22
CA$75.69
+12.6%
6.0%CA$82.09CA$69.30n/a4
Nov ’25CA$67.54
CA$71.81
+6.3%
4.5%CA$75.30CA$67.93n/a4
Oct ’25CA$58.91
CA$66.74
+13.3%
15.1%CA$75.02CA$47.48n/a5
Sep ’25CA$57.90
CA$67.09
+15.9%
14.9%CA$75.20CA$47.95n/a5
Aug ’25CA$52.43
CA$65.96
+25.8%
15.0%CA$74.90CA$48.03n/a5
Jul ’25CA$52.83
CA$65.96
+24.9%
15.0%CA$74.93CA$48.03n/a5
Jun ’25CA$46.88
CA$65.96
+40.7%
15.0%CA$74.93CA$48.03n/a5
May ’25CA$62.17
CA$76.73
+23.4%
19.3%CA$100.17CA$56.03n/a5
Apr ’25CA$66.41
CA$75.60
+13.8%
19.9%CA$99.92CA$54.97n/a5
Mar ’25CA$72.93
CA$75.60
+3.7%
19.9%CA$99.92CA$54.97n/a5
Feb ’25CA$59.39
CA$70.93
+19.4%
21.5%CA$94.72CA$42.87n/a6
Jan ’25CA$63.99
CA$71.74
+12.1%
21.2%CA$95.01CA$43.47n/a6
Dec ’24CA$61.00
CA$71.99
+18.0%
20.7%CA$94.06CA$43.78n/a6
Nov ’24CA$53.94
CA$69.65
+29.1%
21.9%CA$89.97CA$39.62CA$67.546
Oct ’24CA$55.08
CA$69.14
+25.5%
22.1%CA$89.99CA$39.24CA$58.916
Sep ’24CA$58.69
CA$69.04
+17.6%
22.3%CA$90.31CA$39.14CA$57.906
Aug ’24CA$51.96
CA$65.07
+25.2%
24.7%CA$84.62CA$35.91CA$52.435
Jul ’24CA$52.44
CA$66.85
+27.5%
21.9%CA$83.81CA$36.55CA$52.836
Jun ’24CA$47.00
CA$67.70
+44.0%
20.3%CA$84.83CA$37.00CA$46.887
May ’24CA$51.73
CA$73.82
+42.7%
10.4%CA$90.03CA$66.82CA$62.176
Apr ’24CA$55.02
CA$74.39
+35.2%
9.9%CA$89.96CA$67.48CA$66.416
Mar ’24CA$47.61
CA$72.88
+53.1%
12.7%CA$89.82CA$60.40CA$72.936
Feb ’24CA$51.90
CA$72.88
+40.4%
12.7%CA$89.82CA$60.40CA$59.396
Jan ’24CA$44.74
CA$74.22
+65.9%
12.1%CA$90.12CA$61.65CA$63.996
Dec ’23CA$44.15
CA$70.79
+60.3%
16.3%CA$89.94CA$54.00CA$61.006
Nov ’23CA$40.05
CA$77.89
+94.5%
17.4%CA$96.58CA$54.01CA$53.946

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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