Docebo Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Docebo is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.8% and 10.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 40.4% in 3 years.
Key information
11.8%
Earnings growth rate
15.41%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 17.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.2% |
| Future return on equity | 40.39% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 24 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
DCBO: Buyback And Strong Bookings Are Expected To Reward Patience
Narrative Update: Docebo Analyst Target Shift The updated fair value estimate for Docebo edges higher to CA$36.09 from CA$35.10. This reflects analysts' recent target cuts in the CA$25 to CA$28 range, while still crediting the company with solid gross bookings and a healthier underlying business than headline metrics suggest.DCBO: Buybacks And Solid Bookings Are Expected To Support Upside Repricing
Narrative update Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Docebo, with recent cuts such as Scotiabank moving to CA$25 from CA$32, Morgan Stanley to CA$26 from CA$28, and Stifel to CA$28 from CA$34. These revisions reflect expectations for softer near-term organic subscription growth and contract headwinds, even as analysts point to solid gross bookings and a core business that appears healthier than the headline metrics suggest.DCBO: Buybacks And Bookings Strength Will Support Future Upside Repricing
Analysts have reset expectations on Docebo, with several firms trimming their price targets into a CA$25 to CA$28 range. They cited softer near term organic subscription growth, headwinds from the AWS contract roll off and Dayforce churn, and a need to see more proof around execution despite recent strength in gross bookings.DCBO: Buybacks And Margin Expansion Will Support Future Upside Repricing
Analysts have lowered their price targets on Docebo, and our fair value estimate has been revised from about CA$42.80 to roughly CA$35.10. This adjustment reflects expectations of softer subscription growth, contract headwinds and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, partially offset by stronger modeled profit margins.DCBO: Rebased Earnings Profile And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their average Docebo price target by about CA$0.34, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while still viewing the core earnings profile as intact. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Docebo point to more cautious pricing assumptions, even as analysts broadly see the core business model as unchanged.DCBO: Rebased Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Docebo, with our fair value estimate moving from about US$46.46 to US$43.15 as they factor in slightly lower profit margin assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and updated P/E expectations following recent target cuts at several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Docebo has centered on valuation reset rather than ratings changes, with several firms revising their price targets lower and aligning expectations with updated P/E assumptions and discount rates.DCBO: Upmarket Enterprise Wins And Higher ARPU Will Drive Future Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Docebo has moved lower to around $46.46 from about $49.45, as analysts factor in reduced Street targets, including cuts from firms that still highlight the company’s role in learning management systems and see revenue growth, margin outlook, and a lower future P/E as key parts of the risk-reward trade-off. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Docebo reflects a mix of optimism about the business model and caution around valuation and execution.Investors Shouldn't Overlook Docebo's (TSE:DCBO) Impressive Returns On Capital
Jan 15
DCBO: Enterprise Expansion And Higher ARPU Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have adjusted their view on Docebo after a mix of recent research, including a price target cut to US$28 from US$34 and a fresh US$35 target at another firm. This has led to a small tweak in the modeled discount rate and future P/E multiple in our updated assumptions.DCBO: Enterprise Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Returns Despite Near-Term Margin Pressure
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Docebo to $28 from $34, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, even as they highlight the company’s strong learning management platform, upmarket expansion, and enterprise focused growth strategy. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed but generally constructive view on Docebo, with targets and ratings reflecting both confidence in the company’s long term growth profile and caution around near term execution and profitability.DCBO: Enterprise Focus And Upmarket Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Returns
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Docebo, trimming expectations by mid single digits in dollar terms to reflect a slightly higher discount rate, while still highlighting the company’s strong competitive position, enterprise focus, and above market growth trajectory in learning management systems. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Docebo reflects a mix of optimism on the company’s long term growth profile and caution around near term valuation and execution risks.Docebo Inc.'s (TSE:DCBO) Stock Retreats 26% But Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Nov 27DCBO: Enterprise Expansion And Upmarket Momentum Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have recently lowered their average price target for Docebo, citing adjustments to profit margin expectations and valuation multiples. Figures have shifted from $34 to a range between $28 and $37 per share, reflecting evolving views on revenue growth and sector performance.DCBO: Enterprise Expansion And Improving Margins Will Drive Future Gains
Analysts have lowered their average price target for Docebo from $55.02 to $49.81. They cite cautious outlooks on growth rates and valuation multiples, despite continued optimism about the company’s profit margins and enterprise expansion strategy.AI Adoption And FedRAMP Certification Will Widen Market Opportunities
Despite an unchanged analyst price target for Docebo, the sharp rise in its future P/E ratio suggests heightened growth expectations are being offset by valuation concerns, resulting in no adjustment to its fair value at CA$55.02. What's in the News Docebo provided earnings guidance for Q3 2025, expecting total revenue between $61.0 million and $61.2 million.Here's Why We Think Docebo (TSE:DCBO) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Jul 19An Intrinsic Calculation For Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Apr 29Some Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 27% Pounding
Mar 08
Partnerships With Accenture And Deloitte Will Expand Global Market Presence
Strategic international expansion and partnerships, particularly in Europe, highlight potential revenue growth by diversifying geographic and market strategies.Is There Now An Opportunity In Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO)?
Jan 13Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Dec 16Investors Should Be Encouraged By Docebo's (TSE:DCBO) Returns On Capital
Nov 05What Does Docebo Inc.'s (TSE:DCBO) Share Price Indicate?
Apr 30Docebo (TSE:DCBO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Apr 15Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO)
Mar 12Docebo Inc.'s (TSE:DCBO) Price In Tune With Revenues
Feb 26Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Docebo (TSE:DCBO)
Dec 04An Intrinsic Calculation For Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO) Suggests It's 37% Undervalued
Nov 04Getting In Cheap On Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO) Might Be Difficult
Oct 01Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 331 | 60 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 301 | 45 | 57 | 56 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 271 | 36 | 46 | 48 | 12 |
| 12/31/2025 | 243 | 38 | 27 | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 237 | 23 | 28 | 29 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 231 | 21 | 27 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 223 | 23 | 27 | 29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 217 | 27 | 28 | 29 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 209 | 18 | 25 | 26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 200 | 17 | 27 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 191 | 7 | 26 | 27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 181 | 3 | 15 | 16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 171 | 1 | 11 | 12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 161 | 7 | 6 | 6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 152 | 15 | 1 | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 143 | 7 | 1 | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 134 | 4 | -1 | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 124 | -6 | -3 | -1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 115 | -15 | -4 | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 104 | -14 | -4 | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 93 | -16 | 2 | 3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 82 | -18 | 3 | 4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 71 | -14 | 4 | 5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 63 | -8 | 4 | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 56 | -7 | -6 | -5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 51 | -10 | -8 | -8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 46 | -9 | -7 | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 41 | -12 | -5 | -5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 37 | -12 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 34 | -10 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 30 | -11 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 27 | -11 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 17 | -7 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 10 | -3 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DCBO's forecast earnings growth (11.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).
Earnings vs Market: DCBO's earnings (11.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (11% per year).
High Growth Earnings: DCBO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: DCBO's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DCBO's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DCBO's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (40.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/04 23:38 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Docebo Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Martin Toner | ATB Cormark |
| Phillip Leytes | Berenberg |
| Robert Young | Canaccord Genuity |