Stock Analysis

Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited's (TSE:CTC.A) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

TSX:CTC.A
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.6x Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (TSE:CTC.A) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Canadian Tire Corporation could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Canadian Tire Corporation

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CTC.A Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 16th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Canadian Tire Corporation's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Canadian Tire Corporation's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 66% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 66% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 41% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.2% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Canadian Tire Corporation's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Canadian Tire Corporation's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Canadian Tire Corporation (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.